Out of the blues
The year 2009-2010 saw the industry netting revenues to the tune of
INR 3626 crores. This is exclusively the end-user sales figure. However
the over all industry revenue was estimated at INR 3905 crores. The reason
why the total industry revenue is much higher then the actual end-user
sales is because many a companies procure finished products from others
& brand them as theirs, and our survey team gets the turnover from
both, resulting in duplication. With nearly 620 companies responding to
our survey, giving us the information we sought in great detail, knowing
fully well how much the company has manufactured with excise paid. And
also trying to find out, which companies procure finished products from
others & brand them as theirs, an exercise which has been done only
thrice before, we did all of it again to give continuity to the process.
We are sure the figure which we have arrived at
i.e. the actual end-user sales revenue of has definitely crossed 3600
crores INR.
Growth wise it has not been a good year for most of the majors with a
few exceptions.
Revenue wise : Industry grew by 11 % a raise of over 5% over the
last fiscal of 2008-2009.
Volume wise : Industry grew by 20% over previous year. This clearly
indicates shrinking margins.
One must be clear in mind that this is a very good performance
considering the stiff competition and the squeezed margins in view of
hammering the companies got due to the global economic meltdown.
Of the total revenue of 3905 crores, Online UPSs accounted for 89%
while Offline / Line interactive UPSs accounted for nearly 11% while other
products including Servos accounting for the rest.
Of the total revenue organized sector accounted for nearly 60% while
25% came through semi organized sector while 15% share still remains with
the unorganized fly by night operators.
SD ESTIMATES
Softdisk
went about asking that its prediction in July 2010 that the total industry
revenue will cross INR 5000 crore mark by March, 2012 trying to know what
the Industry leaders thought. Many had little or no doubt to what Softdisk
has predicted earlier, even though this response was at time when the
global economies were trying to come out of worst ever economic crises,
and Indian market was also shaken by it. According to Mr. N K Agrawal of
Delhi based Microtek International Pvt. Ltd., There is a Great Market
potential as these products UPS and Inverters have become an essential
part of every household, and as the middle class is growing rapidly in
India the consumption of these products is also growing at the same pace.
We do see sales of these products not only meeting but exceeding by a
large number the Softdisk prediction of UPS industry revenues reaching INR
5000 Crore by 2012. (Here it is worth
mentioning that Softdisk figure does not include the revenue generated by
Inverters). He further adds the UPS segment is connected with the
IT/PC/SOHO MARKET, those users buying PC will definitely buy UPS for
protection of their system, branded player in this area will be benefitted,
and as the rupee has depreciated massively, thereby hitting the trader
community, which has been importing cheap product from China, their market
share will shrink and the real manufacturer will be able to further
increase their market share.
Mr.
Dalip Sharma, Managing Director, Delta Energy System Pvt. Ltd. echoed the
sentiments according to him the Indian UPS industry is going great guns.
There are several factors driving the growth. The country is facing an
acute power shortage and organizations are relying on UPS systems to fill
the void. The boom in datacenters, ITeS, entertainment, healthcare, and
telecom has led to an increase in demand for UPS systems. The future of
the UPS market seems quite promising, as it finds application in
industries as varied as telecom, process & industrial automation, IT,
electronics & electrical, banking, SMBs, and several other industries.
Hence, if analyze the market potential we may see UPS industry achieving
the predicted heights. However, we can definitely expect global meltdown
and the slowing down of the world economics to have an impact on this, he
laments.
Mr. R Chellapan of Numeric Power Systems Ltd. feels, Softdisk has more
scientific way of evaluating the market for its volume and quality then
any other agency and the overall UPS sales by 2012 might cross 5000 Cr
mark subject to IT recovery.
NUMERIC,
which has been the leader in the UPS industry, has taken larger
initiatives with most modern manufacturing infrastructure to address the
mass production requirements and geographically expanded to over 240
locations as of now.
With India assuming a key role in Asia, businesses have become attuned
to the fact that they need robust infrastructure to attract and retain
investors for this having power continuity & quality are paramount.
Well Govt. of India, recent singing of Nuclear Deal with the US, more
importantly India getting NSG Waiver at Vienna after long deliberations
and oppositions from certain countries is a welcome sign as it has opened
gates for Nuclear Power Plants, 27 of them stated to be coming up by 2020.
With many new avenues opening up in bio-medics, telecom, process
automation and in almost every sphere of life, this also indicates the
future is very bright keeping in mind the current utility power scenario
of the country. All this augers well for the Indian UPS Industry as Power
Quality & Continuity will be the most sought after thing in years to
come. So not withholding the resent economic meltdown, the ray of hope for
Power Electronic Industry in the country remains unperturbed.
Mr.
Christo George, Managing Director, Hykon India Pvt. Ltd. Thrissur also
agrees with the Softdisk Survey published in July 2010. According to him
as there is a big growth expected in ITES and industrial sector the UPS
industry will continue to grow in a steady pace. Also the rural India is
yet to grow into its full potential which will add on to the expected
growth positively. Due to the technological development and more awareness
customers are very critical about the available power and are also equally
serious about the protection of their costly electronic products. Another
area where India will stand to grow is hospitality industry as well as
educational institution. This also will give a positive signal to the UPS
industry development. We strongly believe that the Indian UPS industry
should touch nearly 5000 crores by 2012-13.
Mr.
Pradeep Pimpley Managing Director DB Power Electronics Pvt. Ltd.
elaborated on this issue, according to him when we speak about market, we
have an enterprise market segment in mind. Most of the top notch UPS
companies like APC, Eaton Powerware, PCI to some extent mostly serve this
business segment. Earlier when Numeric was associated with Socomec or MGE,
was also a part of this market segment, apart from its presence in Banking
and Finance segment for lower ratings UPSs. As per our understanding, the
market segment revenue (excluding precision A/C, Electrical distribution,
etc.) for UPS Systems is close to INR 3000 Cr. Looking at the present
market scenario, the revenue collection from this segment shall be within
INR 3500 Cr this year.
Even after a year of slump, economic slow down has adversely affected
IT and IT infrastructure segment. The expansion plans are put on hold by
most of the big names in IT, ITES. Even the aggressive companies in IT
infrastructure segment are no exception. There is more emphasis on best
utilization of existing IT facilities and also human resource. Even the
Data Centers projects in telecom segment with few exceptions are either
postponed or put on temporary hold. However we see a shift now, In last
six months the demand for high power UPSs above 200KVA has gone up
considerably. The situations now is wait and watch and do the things as
they unfold. As of DB the economic recession has not affected, Energy,
Power, Oil & Gas Segment. We expect more business from these segments
and continue to maintain our growth. Apart from this, some business
revenue is also expected from specialized products what we manufacture for
niche market. This shall also contribute to our growth plan.
Mr.
Narayan Sabhahit Managing Director, Techser Power Systems Pvt. Ltd,
Bangalore, believes that The average market in enterprise segment (in
which we operate) is expected to grow at the rate of 15 -20%. The data
center market is expected to see a growth of 20 - 25% as compared to last
year. However, the remaining IT market growth is expected to the tune of
10 - 12%. Last few years the growth rate in the market has been
encouraging (Leave apart the slowdown period) and UPS shipments taking a
cue from the PC market have also witnessed a very significant growth, but
since melt down, going has been tough, it will correct itself in a quarter
or two, he lament. He further adds, the UPS penetration is now taking
place in cities and towns outside the top 20 cities. According to him “Today
the development process in every vertical is witnessing a speedy growth.
Interpretation of word ‘development’ in its correct form, has been
taken seriously by the concerned agencies / authorities. The
Infrastructure development required to address the challenges of 21st
century is being put in to place. This is a good sign to a certain extent
Government is also keen in making efforts towards enduring availability of
Power. What we see today may not be looking very rosy form the Govt., but
I am sure with nuclear deal and nuclear reactors coming up there will big
orders from companies like ECIL, BHEL, BEL and the likes. “We at Techser
are fully geared to latch on the opportunities when it presents.” As
always, Quality of the product & support package will remain paramount
to us.”, he laments. Speaking on the overall scenario of the industry
Mr. Sabhahit believes that all this put together, there is growth
pattern happening. These are the areas where continuity of power is very
essential, since these companies are facing the Global Challenges. And
hence the demand for the UPS and Complete Power solutions is on the rise.
Mr. Ramdin Sangha of WeP Peripherals Ltd. has no different views. There
is a reeling power deficit of 17% across Indian sub-continent. And 5 yrs
down the line although govt. has plans for alternative energy the concern
still rests over making it affordable to the consumer, and rural India.
Therefore the predicted potential does hold good.
According
to Mr. Anoop Nanda of Eaton Power Quality Power backup market in India is
growing at an annual rate of 15-20% varying within the three different
segments. With increasing power deficit and about 17% of demand supply gap
in power generation, the power backup sector is crucial for business
continuity of Indian corporate. Customers are increasingly looking for
high quality reliable and efficient power solutions – that comes with
environmental responsibility. He further adds In the long term
consolidation is inevitable and almost always needed for further growth.
Much depends on the market revival in 2010 and if things continue to
remain flat, many players will explore the M&A route. Consolidations
definitely augur well for India as this will organize the UPS industry,
which is largely fragmented.
Tejas
Sheth of Asia Powercom Pvt. Ltd. also believes that It is quiet possible
for industry to reach 5000 cr. As the automation is increasing &
industry is growing quiet possible to reach 5000 cr. And for next couple
of years UPS industry should surely grow average at 25 % On the subject of
changing business model he laments Now lot of companies want higher
warranty period for all the equipments. This is started by computer
companies & is being asked in UPS as well. Battery is consumable &
not equipment, still companies want more warranty period. This is new
change & all companies will have to gear up for this. In lower end UPS
AMC revenue will go down if warranty period increases. Battery vendors are
also looking at more warranty period & they have initiated to make
such products. So this is going to be big challenge for all UPS companies
& their revenue model has to change. Also the life of UPS is not like
it used to be in earlier time.
According to
New Delhi based Uniline Energy Systems Pvt. Ltd., there is slump in the
market and d UPS shipments as some of the projects in the telcom sector
were held up, expenses were also held up, major tenders of BSNL got
scrapped. Further the Government has stopped the purchasing which also
effects the demands and growth of the industry, especially in the last
quarter of 2009-2010.
But now the case is fast improving as the companies have started
purchasing, Govt has also come up with tenders to increase the capacity
and started releasing the funds. This will result in all round growth.
UPS industry thrives in growth in industries such as IT/ITeS, Telecom,
Banking, Insurance and manufacturing over the last year. What is relevant
is that all of these have their typical power conditioning needs and an
all round growth is expected, right from entry level products to high-end
UPS in the current financial.
However we can hope India with strong fundamentals will be able to tide
over the crises. What we called as meltdown is basically market
correction, and from past experiences whenever market corrects itself, it
usually over corrects and once the recession stops it tend to climb up to
correct levels. Same is case this time too, we see an increase of 10-15%
in sales taking into consideration the recent market situations. The world
cannot ignore an emerging economy like India and hope fully things will
settle down for the better. “On our part Uniline is fully prepared with
Modular UPS Systems and Three phase UPS Systems with touch screen
operations & all set to garner the larger pie of the increasing UPS
market.”, he lament.
According to Mr.
I B Rao & Mr. M R Rajesh of Powerone Micro Systems, Bangalore, India’s
Today Indian power conditioning market is getting more sensitive and
mature to the evolving needs of the businesses. With India assuming a key
role in the Asian economy, businesses have become attuned to the fact that
they need to be robust in terms of infrastructure to attract and retain
investors. Hence, Business Critical Continuity is being viewed
strategically and upcoming businesses are realizing the importance of
factoring and aligning it as key component in the overall business model.
In India, the
five cities of Mumbai, New Delhi, Chennai, Kolkata and Bangalore have been
the largest markets for power products. However, there has been a shift
towards B & C Class cities such as Pune, Chandigarh, Lucknow,
Hyderabad, Jaipur to name a few. These locations are fast becoming global
hubs in terms of R&D, ITES & BPO, Retail, and Manufacturing and
given the criticality of operations undertaken in these sectors, there is
an increasing need for comprehensive network uptime solutions, Besides,
given the upward spiral in terms of PC penetration in these cities, these
cities have been showing a marked growth, they laments
Talking on fluctuating prices of base material of the UPS Systems, Mr.
R Chellappan of Numeric believe that price hike in base material is past
its peek, while the cause of concern has shifted to adverse foreign
exchange rates. Mr. Chellappan believes this Financial year will educate
us about recovering a disaster apart from managing the competition.
According
Ramesh S, Managing Director of Powertronix Pvt. Ltd., Bangalore, ”The
metal price fluctuation is definitely disturbing the business. Every time
the change in the price takes place, it takes 2 to 3 months to settle down
our
business from the disturbance. But now Powertronix has already came out
with some of the Transformer less UPS Technologies , which solves to some
extent to keep us independent from this impact. Off-course right now the
lead price is impacting our sales for which we are unable to do any thing
right now.
According to Mr. Ramdin Sangha of WeP Peripherals, there is no other
alternative than to explore alternate technology. This can be in the area
of battery & transformers. We also need to revisit feature-value
equations for customers to try and optimize wherever possible.
ON GOVT. TAXATION POLICY & EXPENTANCY
Mr.
Sumanth Kumar of Bangalore based Powernet Solutions Pvt. Ltd. was very
empathetic when he says “GOI introduced VAT to create a uniform
taxation, currently 4% but we find some state Govt.’s not ready to
implement. This is ridiculous. He further adds “Duty free imports should
be avoided as it would totally kill the domestic industry. At least a
minimum duty should be levied on imports of all sorts as it would help
survive and sustain the domestic industry.”
He also does not believe that today UPS industry is healthy According
to him, strangely in today's scenario, greater turnover can be achieved by
compromising many activities of the company like the manufacturing
process. The manufacturing process including design is out-sourced to
countries like China which thrive on such activities.
According
to Mr. Vinod Kumar, Managing Director Arvi Systems & Controls Govt.
should encourage indigenous manufacturing by reducing the ED. It should
also appoint a general body to regulate the quality of products being
imported, as it has direct impact on country’s economy. Although there
is a definite reduction in the excise duty the threat we may face in the
future will be MNC directly entering and targeting the end customers. US
& UK companies may come up as a major threat in the next 2 years as
things stand today. Here the government should think of giving an edge to
the Indian manufacturers by way of imposing duties and levies to MNC
products. We agree that more players (both abroad & indigenous) will
do better choice for the customers but should come out with definite plans
for encouraging the Indian manufacturers.
According
to Mr. Anil Munjal, VP of PCI Limited power is an essential requirement
for all facets of our life and has been recognized as a basic human need.
It is the critical infrastructure on which the socio-economic development
of the country depends. The growth of the economy and its global
competitiveness hinges on the availability of reliable and quality power
at competitive rates. The demand of power in India is enormous and is
growing steadily. Though the government is quite conscious of the power
scenario in the country, yet it
seems that all the new addition to the installed capacity do not give
us the comfort of continuous power even by the year 2012. Despite this
grave situation, there are no special incentives or support for the UPS
installations except in a very limited way. Considering the importance of
UPS systems in a growing economy and keeping in view the power Scenario
what it is, the Govt. should certainly exempt all UPS systems from import
duties Customs Duties, excise duties etc.
After all, what will an importer or manufacturer do with UPS systems or
batteries except to use them for ensuring continuous good quality power
and help to generate more affordable and help cut cost for our
manufacturing.
Softdisk believes that being a negligible contributor to the GDP, Power
Electronic Industry does not receive enough attention from the Govt., we
believe the Govt. should realize the importance of Power Continuity as it
is the life line of major GDP contributors.
THE CHINISE DOMINANCE
For
the past two-three years the Indian UPS industry has been facing stiff
competition from Taiwanese/Chinese players who by virtue of mass
production have advantage on pricing on smaller UPS where as in larger
UPS, European players will fight the Indian manufacturers and that too
with plants located in China. According to Mr. Rajaram Rammoorthy,
Managing Director of Bangalore based Electronic & Controls The need
for power conditioning is ever expanding across all business sectors,
which is a direct reflection on the market potential available for UPS
requirements. Large single location business houses well as rural markets
have always seen upward treads. Similarly BFSI segments in B&C class
cities further fuel the potential.
Currently the market being infused with Chinese makes by most players.
We feel that this may not carry on for long for UPS requirements over 5kva
range, in the Online space. The Chinese products, though sleek are very
sensitive to Indian conditions and thereby more service intensive in
comparison to the rugged Indian products. However, in the Offline space,
the Chinese products are here to stay.
Mr. Deepak Sharma of Eaton Power Quality is very clear in his views
according to him globalization, like outsourcing, is here to stay. Today,
businesses can source
goods from around the world, produce their product wherever it makes
economic sense, and sell it anywhere. International trade is forecasted to
grow at twice the rate of the world gross domestic product (GDP). The
economic impacts of globalization are enormous.
Rather than fight globalization and market forces, it is prudent to
adapt oneself to changing circumstances, focus on low cost, high quality
products backed up with a good service network, to take advantage of the
market reality.
All the MNC with manufacturing facilities in China express similar
views. They talk of globalization and give logical reasons to support
their point of view.
Softdisk believes that finally it all boils down to services, companies
with better service infrastructure will always survive. We have seen even
the companies offering Chinese product doing well as they are at the top
when it comes to services.
IDEAL UPS SYSTEM
Shankar
C Nagali of Bangalore based Cosmic Power Solutions Pvt. Ltd. believes,
today’s UPS units should be capable of supplying non-linear type loads
without de-rating or degradation in total harmonic distortion (THD).
This would require the computation of critical electrical loads, before
selecting the UPS capacity, considering the power requirements of each
piece of equipment to be protected. An ideal UPS system should take care
of the output voltage and frequency regulation.
Finally, a good UPS should also allow for 25 to 30 percent future
expansion. In addition, the service capabilities of the UPS manufacturer
also matter greatly in case of mission-critical applications.
According to Mr. R Chellappan of Chennai based Numeric Power Systems
Ltd : The high-end UPS segment is a value-driven his solution is that it
can also be used in parallel with existing battery bank or new battery
bank to reduce extra stress on batteries. This solution shall eliminate
requirement of large battery banks, space, battery related maintenance,
battery related safety issues like fire hazard, etc. The estimated life of
these DC modules is 15-20 years. The maintenance is practically NIL, and
the operating cost over life is reasonably low, he laments.
However from what Softdisk has experienced is that of all these Dynamic
UPS, Batteryless UPS installations only PCI Limited with its Pillar brand
of Dynamic UPS System has been successful.
FOREIGN COLLABORATIONS
Taking of collaborations most of the company in top 20 list have a
foreign collaboration. Either these foreign companies are directly present
in India thru 100% subsidiary or thru JV, technical tie-ups or a
distribution arrangement. Only exception to this list is Delhi based
Tritronics India Pvt. Ltd., headed by Mr. Rajeev Chatrath, which too has
strategic tie-up with Luminious, a giant Inverter manufacturer, Numeric
breaking relations with Socomec, it is another company which can be
excluded from this list, however there international presence makes it
connect to many a foreign companies. Techser too is an exception to this
list.
Softdisk has seen it all over the past 19 years, more often then not
some of the companies use a lot of word jugglery in there promos, it must
be the same thing which some one else must be offering without making lot
of noise and at a better price. It is one area where customers need to be
watchful.
Some current technology trends are:
Green technology
High efficiency machines reducing operating expenses
Less harmonics from UPS resulting in low pollution of utility
Highest power to footprint ratio which will lower real estate costs
Softdisk believes it was just an over-correction
& Power Continuity being critical for all sectors, things have already
started to get normalized, It is only a matter of time before UPS industry
starts witnessing rosy days again, but they cannot think of lavish margins
anymore. |